This article linked at Kurzweil's site suggest computers will continue their exponential growth in processing power in the coming years so that in less than a decade, they will operate at exaflop speeds (10^18 or a quintillion operations per second).
For computers to actually achieve strong AI (intelligence) on a level equalling or exceeding humans, dramatic improvements in AI software would also have to be made. Pure processing power in itself is not enough.
How Fukushima Changed Japanese Robotics and Woke Up the Industry - In March 2011, Japan was hit by a catastrophic earthquake that triggered a terrible tsunami. Thousands were killed and billions of dollars of damage was do...
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